• 2019 - Position 169

    XGID=-a-a-CCaC---dD-----bbbAbA-:1:1:1:51:7:9:0:13:10

    Match Play. Red trails 7-9 to 13. How should Red play 51?

    For money this would be a relatively close call between 13/7* and 8/7*, 8/3.

    At this score it is no contest and any play other than 8/7*, 8/3* is at least a blunder. Most of the time Red will seeking to get in a powerful redouble or playing on for the gammon (or both!). This is not the time for caution. If thing go badly for him Red will lose a gammon and the match so he should think positively and play the move that maximises his match equity.

    That play is 8/7*, 8/3*.

    3 Comments

    • 1. Sep 14 2019 1:58PM by Ben

      8/7*;6/1* seems to offer Red the best chance to recover from this awkward dilemma.

    • 2. Sep 15 2019 8:51PM by Mackenzie

      I would play the simple 13/7*. Since losing a gammon means losing the match, I prefer to leave only one blot, even if it leaves significantly more immediate return shots than the double hit.

    • 3. Sep 16 2019 2:03AM by Ben

      I intended to suggest 8/7*;8/3*..

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