• 2018 - Position 99

    XGID=--A--BDBA---bB-a-d-cc-bAB-:0:0:1:51:2:6:1:7:10

    Money Play. Should Red redouble? If redoubled, should White take?

    This position demonstrates once again the power of the broken prime. If White’s checker on the bar enters on Red’s ace-point he could very soon be in trouble and his position could unravel.

    Because of this White loses a gammon a whopping 26% of the time and it this makes the position a huge redouble. It is a blunder not to redouble.

    On the other hand , Red still has four rear checkers to extricate and he could have trouble doing that, particularly the ones on White’s 2-pt. This is enough to give White a take, although it is quite close.

    It is interesting that the redouble is predicated more upon White rolling badly than Red rolling well, which is usually the case.

    4 Comments

    • 1. Jun 13 2018 3:55PM by Peder

      No redouble/take. There is a long way to go, and I prefer holding on to the cube. However, I would double to activate gammons.

    • 2. Jun 13 2018 8:31PM by Michael

      Red doesn't have many market losers other than perhaps 22,11, 66 and possibly some other big doubles, however O dances 50% of the times. and 25% of the times enters at the ace point which is actually bad.

      This imo collects enough market losers to RD. I'd give white a Take because of the 25% chance to enter at the 5 point including the nice rolling of 54.

      There's an elevated risk of losing many gammons though, because when entering at the ace point white will likely expose more blots soon.

      Might be close to a Pass.

      RD/T

    • 3. Jun 14 2018 8:08AM by Leo

      The race is close, but red has the best of it. He has the better homeboard, white has one on the bar and is hemmed in on red's one point. I think this is enough to redouble. I think white has a take as red has 4 checkers back which need to navigate the outer board and all white's checkers are in play.

    • 4. Jun 14 2018 1:32PM by Ben

      No redouble/Take. Red simply lacks the threats here to justify a redouble.

Photo crop (passport)

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