• 2018 - Position 9

    XGID=-aa-B-C-C--BbC---bbe---bB-:0:0:1:51:0:0:3:0:10

    Money Play. How should Red play 51?

    Over the board 13/8, 11/10 was played but this is the wrong approach although it only leaves 8 shots. It gives up one asset in the hope of making another and the risk is not worth the reward.

    The other two candidate plays are both viable and there is virtually no difference between them in terms of equity.

    Red can play 8/2* to keep White off balance or he can play 13/8, 6/5, slotting the point he really wants to make. It may seem anti-thematic to leave 21 shots instead of 8 but when the blot is missed Red can gain hugely. In addition, he keeps his 11-pt and if he does get hit he is still in the game for a long time because of his anchor in White’s home board and White’s awkward structure.

    The one thing that did surprise me is that XG rates 13/8, 11/10 as a blunder.

    3 Comments

    • 1. Jan 11 2018 6:13PM by Ben

      13/8; 11/10 looks right to me.

    • 2. Jan 11 2018 7:25PM by Peder

      It's a choice between "put them where you want them" (13/8, 6/5) and "when in doubt, hit" (8/2*). The slot is great when it works.

    • 3. Jan 11 2018 11:10PM by Leo

      I'd hit 8/2*.

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